Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.156191 0.185288 0.217926 0.257196 0.303112 0.355045 0.418185
2025-06-29 0.110440 0.146806 0.192077 0.252357 0.330285 0.427373 0.557235
2025-07-06 0.084910 0.123052 0.174415 0.248190 0.350922 0.488312 0.685278
2025-07-13 0.072334 0.112520 0.170217 0.258337 0.388600 0.572939 0.852156
2025-07-20 0.065177 0.107776 0.172397 0.276405 0.438151 0.678222 1.059032
2025-07-27 0.058148 0.101649 0.171018 0.288074 0.478579 0.773623 1.261217
2025-08-03 0.050160 0.092415 0.163037 0.287605 0.499115 0.839874 1.424757
2025-08-10 0.042002 0.081400 0.150280 0.277026 0.501083 0.875788 1.542312
2025-08-17 0.034842 0.070896 0.136718 0.262841 0.494511 0.895906 1.634399
2025-08-24 0.030973 0.065884 0.132174 0.263924 0.514434 0.962465 1.811984
2025-08-31 0.026599 0.059134 0.123365 0.255723 0.516084 0.996445 1.934497
2025-09-07 0.024236 0.056098 0.121272 0.260050 0.541558 1.075694 2.146735
2025-09-14 0.021525 0.052072 0.117022 0.260348 0.560921 1.148757 2.361554
2025-09-21 0.018756 0.047460 0.110938 0.256161 0.571095 1.206012 2.553845
2025-09-28 0.016399 0.043356 0.105288 0.252009 0.580647 1.262807 2.751045
2025-10-05 0.015361 0.042241 0.106141 0.262313 0.622305 1.389107 3.102862
2025-10-12 0.014915 0.042530 0.110275 0.280645 0.683818 1.563080 3.571815
2025-10-19 0.014097 0.041699 0.111592 0.292482 0.731966 1.713249 4.004662
2025-10-26 0.012706 0.039062 0.108045 0.292007 0.751346 1.802295 4.312566
2025-11-02 0.011004 0.035217 0.100816 0.281275 0.744800 1.832360 4.491301
2025-11-09 0.009377 0.031258 0.092643 0.266882 0.727331 1.835246 4.607711
2025-11-16 0.008564 0.029595 0.090442 0.267982 0.748999 1.932214 4.953883
2025-11-23 0.007507 0.026954 0.085077 0.259661 0.745212 1.967468 5.155775